Tax Amnesties

Theory, Trends, and Some Alternatives

Tax amnesties remain as popular as ever as a tool for raising revenue and increasing tax compliance. International experience, however, shows that the costs of tax amnesty programs often exceed the programs’ benefits. This paper weighs the advantages and disadvantages of tax amnesties, drawing on results from the theoretical literature, econometric evidence, and selected country and U.S. state case studies. The authors conclude that “successful” tax amnesties are the exception rather than the norm. Improvements in tax administration are the essential ingredient in addressing the main problems that tax amnesties seek to address. Indeed, the most successful amnesty programs rely on improving the tax administration’s enforcement capacity. ?Given the potential drawbacks of tax amnesties, a few alternative measures are discussed.

In this section we analyze the recent trends in tax amnesties, and some evidence
is provided regarding their revenue and compliance effects. The first section is
devoted to a review of the econometric literature on the (mainly revenue) effect of
tax amnesties. The second section describes the U.S. states' experience with
amnesties (through a general overview and then two case studies: the tax
amnesty programs of Kentucky and Michigan, both in 2002). The experience of
the U.S. ...